Market Recap: Fed outlook, Oil price spike, Meta AI infrastructure

x500 (1000 x 500 px) (7)

Market Recap: Fed outlook, Oil price spike, Meta AI infrastructure

SPY
S&P 500
Last week: -2.12% 
YTD: -6.96% 
1-year: 14.12%
DIA
Dow
Last week: -0.90%
YTD: -6.03%
1-year: 8.62%
ONEQ
Nasdaq
Last week: -3.23%
YTD: -9.87%
1-year: 20.93%
IWM
Russell 2000
Last week: -1.76% 
YTD: -1.07% 
1-year: 22.58%
Growth
Large Growth
YTD: -12.64% 
1-year: 15.09%
Value
Large Value
YTD: 0.29%
1-year: 14.90%
MSCI EAFE
International Developed Markets
YTD: -1.85% 
1-year: 15.82%

Fed Optimism Sparks Market Selloff

The Federal Reserve struck an optimistic tone on the economy, but investors reacted negatively, pushing expectations for any rate cuts this year sharply lower. Jerome Powell described growth as “solid” and dismissed stagflation concerns despite weak job growth and inflation remaining above target. Markets were unsettled by the Fed’s apparent reluctance to respond to escalating Middle East tensions, contributing to a stock market pullback and a shift in rate expectations. As a result, traders now see minimal chances of rate cuts and even a small but rising probability of a rate hike in the months ahead.

War-Driven Oil Spike Hits Consumers

The ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict is driving a surge in oil prices, creating ripple effects across the economy that are increasingly hitting consumers beyond just gas prices. Companies like United Airlines and the United States Postal Service are raising prices or adding surcharges to offset higher fuel costs, while others warn of broader price increases. Businesses are preparing for prolonged elevated oil prices, with airlines cutting less profitable routes and signaling higher ticket prices ahead. As a result, Americans are facing rising costs and declining economic confidence as inflation concerns intensify.

Meta Bets Big on AI Infrastructure

Meta is dramatically increasing its investment in a West Texas AI data center to $10 billion, aiming for 1 gigawatt of capacity by 2028 as demand for computing power surges. The project in El Paso is expected to create hundreds of jobs and thousands of construction roles, while also adding significant clean energy capacity. Despite stock declines and layoffs, Meta continues to aggressively fund AI infrastructure, including major chip deals with Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices. The expansion comes amid growing scrutiny over costs and environmental concerns, particularly around water and electricity usage.

 

As always, Base Wealth Management remains focused on aligning investment strategies with your long-term goals amid evolving market conditions.

  • Alex is a Certified Financial Planner™. He brings nearly a decade of experience working with individuals, families, and business owners. Prior to working for Base Wealth Management, Alex worked for Fidelity Investments and an independent wealth management firm in Venice, FL. Through many years of practice, he specializes in helping clients navigate their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics from Texas A&M University.

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2022 Tax Document Information

As a Base Wealth Management client, you should receive your paper tax documents via mail in the coming weeks. Or, if you previously had an online account with Pershing’s NetX360, you should be able to access your 2022 tax documents through that portal. 

If not, or if you experience any issues, please reach out to Tim O’Brien (tim.obrien@intervestintl.com).

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