Market Recap: Gold’s Historic Surge, A Housing Reset Ahead, US Pushes Tech Hiring

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Market Recap: Gold’s Historic Surge, A Housing Reset Ahead, US Pushes Tech Hiring

SPY
S&P 500
Last week: 2.29%
YTD: 17.82%
1-year: 16.06%
DIA
Dow
Last week: 1.58%
YTD: 14.49%
1-year: 13.30%
ONEQ
Nasdaq
Last week: 2.55%
YTD: 22.18%
1-year: 19.63%
IWM
Russell 2000
Last week: 0.25%
YTD: 15.07%
1-year: 14.33%
Large Growth
Large Growth
YTD: 20.32%
1-year: 17.86%
Large Value
Large Value
YTD: 17.07%
1-year: 16.17%
MSCI EAFE
International Developed Markets
YTD: 28.01%
1-year: 27.26%

Gold’s Historic Surge

Gold is on pace for its best year since 1979, with prices up about 71% amid geopolitical conflict, trade disruptions, and economic uncertainty driving investors toward safe havens. Falling bond yields, expectations for Fed rate cuts, and a weaker US dollar have made gold more attractive relative to stocks and bonds. Central banks such as China’s are buying gold at record levels to reduce reliance on the US dollar, adding a structural boost to demand. Other precious metals have surged alongside gold, and analysts expect prices to remain elevated into 2026 as demand rises and supply tightens.

A Housing Reset Ahead

After years of high prices and borrowing costs freezing the market, economists expect 2026 to mark a turning point for U.S. housing. Rising incomes, modestly lower mortgage rates, and more sellers adjusting to rates above 6% could boost inventory and lift sales, even if prices stay roughly flat. Home prices are unlikely to fall meaningfully nationwide, but affordability may improve slightly as activity picks up from historically low levels. Rents are expected to resume rising, and while the Trump administration has signaled a focus on housing affordability, major policy-driven changes are unlikely to arrive quickly.

US Pushes Tech Hiring

The Trump administration has launched a campaign to hire a thousand engineers for two-year federal roles, with a focus on AI, software, cybersecurity, and data analytics. The engineers will work on targeted government projects, including building a digital platform for new Trump administration savings accounts for children, with the first hires expected by March 31. The initiative is part of a broader AI agenda led in part by former PayPal executive David Sacks, aiming to bring private-sector talent into government. Major tech companies such as Apple, Google, and Nvidia have pledged to consider program alumni for future roles, expanding on a smaller, similar effort started under the Biden administration.

 

As always, Base Wealth Management remains focused on aligning investment strategies with your long-term goals amid evolving market conditions.

  • Alex is a Certified Financial Planner™. He brings nearly a decade of experience working with individuals, families, and business owners. Prior to working for Base Wealth Management, Alex worked for Fidelity Investments and an independent wealth management firm in Venice, FL. Through many years of practice, he specializes in helping clients navigate their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics from Texas A&M University.

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