Market Recap: Job Growth Misses, Fed Eyes Tariff Risks, Trade Tensions Rise

  • Home
  • Market Recaps
  • Market Recap: Job Growth Misses, Fed Eyes Tariff Risks, Trade Tensions Rise
steel tariffs

Market Recap: Job Growth Misses, Fed Eyes Tariff Risks, Trade Tensions Rise

SPY
S&P 500

Last Week: -0.50%
YTD: 2.51%
1 Year: 21.40%

DIA

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Last Week: -0.26%
YTD: 4.18%
1 Year: 16.51%

ONEQ
NASDAQ

Last Week: -0.83%
YTD: 1.10%
1 Year: 22.87

Russell 2000

Last Week: 0.97%
YTD: 2.28%
1 Year: 14.71

Large Growth

YTD: 1.69%
1 Year: 24.57

Large Value

YTD: 4.41%
1 Year: 18.08%

January Job Growth Misses Expectations

January saw a modest job increase of 143,000, below forecasts, though unemployment edged down to 4% and wages rose sharply by 0.5% for the month. Benchmark revisions lowered the 2024 payroll count by 589,000 but showed a significant rise of 2.23 million in reported employment due to population and immigration adjustments. Job growth was concentrated in health care, retail, and government, while mining-related industries saw declines. Despite muted job gains, financial markets remained steady, with economists noting that the report may not push the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts.

Fed Officials Critical of Inflation Risk from Tariffs

Federal Reserve officials, typically silent on fiscal policy, are increasingly addressing inflation risks from President Trump’s proposed tariffs on major trading partners, including Canada, Mexico, China, and the European Union. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Boston Fed President Susan Collins highlighted concerns over potential supply chain disruptions and long-lasting inflationary pressures. The Fed recently held its benchmark interest rate steady but emphasized vigilance in monitoring economic conditions. While economists generally view tariffs as having short-term price effects, the broad scope of these measures raises concerns about persistent inflation, complicating future monetary policy decisions.

Tariff Plan on Steel and Aluminum Draws Trade Concerns

President Trump announced a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports, set to take effect immediately, with reciprocal tariffs on U.S. trading partners expected later in the week. Canada’s steel and aluminum industries, critical to U.S. sectors such as defense and automotive, are likely to be heavily impacted. The Canadian Steel Producers Association criticized the move as unjustified and urged immediate retaliation. Experts warn Trump’s tariff strategy may violate World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, representing the most significant departure from global trade norms since 1947 and potentially disrupting established trade patterns.

  • Alex is a Certified Financial Planner™. He brings nearly a decade of experience working with individuals, families, and business owners. Prior to working for Base Wealth Management, Alex worked for Fidelity Investments and an independent wealth management firm in Venice, FL. Through many years of practice, he specializes in helping clients navigate their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics from Texas A&M University.

    View all posts

Schedule a Consultation

"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Register for our Open House event!

2022 Tax Document Information

As a Base Wealth Management client, you should receive your paper tax documents via mail in the coming weeks. Or, if you previously had an online account with Pershing’s NetX360, you should be able to access your 2022 tax documents through that portal. 

If not, or if you experience any issues, please reach out to Tim O’Brien (tim.obrien@intervestintl.com).

Get a FREE Solo 401(K) Guide

Simply submit your name and email to receive a PDF straight to your inbox.

"*" indicates required fields

Name*
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
 *We protect your data and HATE spam.
 

Get a FREE Roth 457 Guide!

Simply submit your name and email to receive a PDF straight to your inbox.

"*" indicates required fields

Name*
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
 *We protect your data and HATE spam.
 

Get a FREE Roth 401(K) Guide

Simply submit your name and email to receive a PDF straight to your inbox.

"*" indicates required fields

Name*
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
 *We protect your data and HATE spam.
 

Get a FREE Solo 401(K) 2-Pager for FireFighters

Simply submit your name and email to receive a PDF straight to your inbox.

"*" indicates required fields

Name*
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
 *We protect your data and HATE spam.
 

Get a FREE copy of Divorce the IRS

If you would like to request a physical copy of Divorce the IRS, please fill out the form below.

"*" indicates required fields

Name*
Address*
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
 *This book is most suitable for households with $250K or more in investable assets.
 

OOPS!

You’ve stumbled across an element that isn’t quite ready for the web yet. We’re working on a lot of new features so stay tuned.

-The Base Wealth Team

Choose your advisor

Dan DiLascia

Sean Koscho

Kyle
Howell

Josh
Pisa