Market Recap: Private Payroll Gains, Fed Holds Rates, Jobless Rate Climbs

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Market Recap: Private Payroll Gains, Fed Holds Rates, Jobless Rate Climbs

SPY
S&P 500

Last Week: 0.24%
YTD: 7.91%
1 Year: 25.72%

DIA

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Last Week: 0.77%
YTD: 3.15%
1 Year: 17.09%

ONEQ
NASDAQ

Last Week: 1.22%
YTD: 7.65%
1 Year: 33.57% 

Russell 2000

Last Week: 0.97%
YTD: 0.85%
1 Year: 17.33% 

Large Growth

YTD: 9.53%
1 Year: 35.20% 

Large Value

YTD: 5.32%
1 Year: 16.56%

Private Payroll

Private employers added 192,000 new workers in April. This was better than the 183,000 analysts had estimated for the month. It was less than the 208,000 added in March, but the step back was to be expected. Another report showed job openings continue to fall to their lowest levels since early 2021. On a positive note for inflation, wages only increased 5% from a year ago, a multiyear low. The largest sector for new jobs added was in leisure and hospitality. 

The Fed Meeting

The most recent news from the Federal Reserve meeting gave little new insight into rate cuts this year. Overall economists feel only time will tell how many rate cuts we will see in 2024. Most of the analysts are now predicting one to two cuts. Chairman Powell indicated they had not seen enough progress yet regarding inflation to be able to start cutting rates. The uncertainty left markets flat after the press conference last week. 

Unemployment and Nonfarm Payroll

The US economy added fewer jobs than anticipated. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 175,000 last month, well below the 240,000 estimated by the Dow Jones consensus. The unemployment rate increased to 3.9%, above the 3.8% expected.  The job news sent the major US stock markets upward, in hopes this news will increase the likelihood of an interest rate cut this summer. A softer labor market and a soft wage increase may indicate the Fed will be able to start cutting rates sooner. The jobless rate is tied for the highest level since January 2022.

  • Alex is a Certified Financial Planner™. He brings nearly a decade of experience working with individuals, families, and business owners. Prior to working for Base Wealth Management, Alex worked for Fidelity Investments and an independent wealth management firm in Venice, FL. Through many years of practice, he specializes in helping clients navigate their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics from Texas A&M University.

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2022 Tax Document Information

As a Base Wealth Management client, you should receive your paper tax documents via mail in the coming weeks. Or, if you previously had an online account with Pershing’s NetX360, you should be able to access your 2022 tax documents through that portal. 

If not, or if you experience any issues, please reach out to Tim O’Brien (tim.obrien@intervestintl.com).

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