Market Recap: U.S.-EU Trade Deal, Fed Rate Cuts, U.S. Economy Rebound

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Market Recap: U.S.-EU Trade Deal, Fed Rate Cuts, U.S. Economy Rebound

SPY
S&P 500
Last week: 1.32%
YTD: 9.36%
1-year: 18.47%
DIA
Dow
Last week: 1.26%
YTD: 6.41%
1-year: 12.37%
ONEQ
NASDAQ
Last week: 0.62%
YTD: 9.49%
1-year: 22.12%
IWM
Russell 2000
Last week: 1.33%
YTD: 2.06%
1-year: 1.22%
Large Growth
Large Growth
YTD: 9.88%
1-year: 25.28%
Large Value
Large Value
YTD: 8.59%
1-year: 11.66%

U.S. and EU Strike Trade Deal with 15% Tariffs, Avoiding Major Conflict

President Trump announced a new trade deal with the European Union that imposes a 15% tariff on most European goods, including autos, avoiding the previously threatened 30% rate. Key sectors like aircraft components and pharmaceuticals are exempt, and the EU committed to $750 billion in U.S. energy purchases and $600 billion in new U.S. investments. European leaders welcomed the deal as a stabilizing move, though concerns remain over the higher tariff costs and long-term economic impact. The agreement averts a full-scale trade war and marks a significant shift in the transatlantic trade relationship.

Trump Signals Confidence in Fed Rate Cuts After Positive Meeting with Powell

President Trump expressed optimism that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates following a constructive meeting with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While Powell has previously resisted rate cuts, citing a strong economy, Trump interpreted their discussion as a sign that policy easing is on the horizon. White House officials, including budget director Russell Vought, continued to advocate for lower rates and called for a broader review of the Fed’s operations and financial management. Despite past tensions, the recent meeting marked a more cooperative tone, though futures markets remain doubtful about an imminent rate cut.

U.S. Economy Rebounds as Consumers Shake Off Tariff Fears

Despite initial fears that President Trump’s tariffs would trigger a recession, consumer sentiment and spending have rebounded, pushing the stock market to record highs and easing inflation concerns. Retail sales, credit card spending, and optimism among small-business owners have all increased, with some companies even hiring again and reporting strong earnings. While certain economic sectors, like manufacturing, remain soft and tariff-related risks still loom, many consumers and businesses have decided to stop waiting and move forward with purchases and investments. Economists now see a slow-growth path rather than a downturn, signaling renewed confidence in the economy’s resilience.

  • Alex is a Certified Financial Planner™. He brings nearly a decade of experience working with individuals, families, and business owners. Prior to working for Base Wealth Management, Alex worked for Fidelity Investments and an independent wealth management firm in Venice, FL. Through many years of practice, he specializes in helping clients navigate their financial goals through comprehensive financial planning. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics from Texas A&M University.

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2022 Tax Document Information

As a Base Wealth Management client, you should receive your paper tax documents via mail in the coming weeks. Or, if you previously had an online account with Pershing’s NetX360, you should be able to access your 2022 tax documents through that portal. 

If not, or if you experience any issues, please reach out to Tim O’Brien (tim.obrien@intervestintl.com).

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